Fragment One
This week polling organisations met to discuss research and methodolgy for the 2010 General Election. (source The Guardian)
A straw poll of those present gave the following average assessment:
A Conservative minority government 10 short of a majority.
Cons 316 (294-7)
Lab 251 (261-6)
LDem 53 (49-51)
Oth 12 (12-16)
NIre 18 (18)
Figures in brackets are my call from two weeks ago, see below.
Fragment Two
The Curious case of The Tanking Campaign continues unabated. This weekend sees the Tories falling out over prison ships, a misguided launch of a misguided educational policy, a bizarre launch of a Broken 'Doncaster' Britain focussed on a dysfunctional married family and an airbrushed poster campaign that saw Tories hiring a new brand manager.
Fragment Three
Labour united behind Gordon Brown despite (or because of) the 'Snowflake' putsch by Tweedledumb and Tweedledumber.
Will Straw gave an impassioned defence of his father, Jack, and was honest as only young people can be.
Fragment Four
The Civil Service union, the First Division, showing how its members are dysfunctional and not up to the job.
Time for a US style changing of the guard after every election.
Fragment Five
The extra-ordinary launch of Open Data.gov paving the way for a wholly different way of looking at Britain.
Fragment Six
The loss of Ted Kennedy's Senate seat to a male nude model and spokesperson for the Republican Tea Party movement.
This concentrated Democrat minds, with mid-term elections in November, sufficiently to see Geithner and Sumers sidelined as Obama took on the Banks with a Tobin Tax in view.
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C'mon remember '79? Thatch was supposed to scrape in with a minority. Pay no heed to polls. I am off to Glasgow next week, whooppee!
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