Saturday, January 9, 2010

These Sabbath Fragments

This is a new feature: it will appear one hour after sunset on Saturday each week.

Fragment one

The Tory Manifesto Launch was an unmitigated disaster. 3 out of 10

Fragment two

Cameron is poor under pressure.

Fragment three

Tory £34-37 billion budget shortfall

Fragment four

Steve Hilton was the best thing going for them. Rather Steve than that disgraceful bully Coulson. The Tories really are nasty. Coulson is destabalising Central Office.

Fragment five

Iain Dale predictions on general election

Tories 331 Labour 216 LDem 69 PCymru 5 SNP 7 Green 1 Others 3 NIreland 18

My predictions

Cons 294-7 Lab 261-6 LDem 49-51 PCymru 4-5 SNP 6-9 Others 2

Dale gives a Majority of Six (6) to the Tories.

After last week's fiasco, I call a Tory minority. Yet the game is only just afoot. Labour can win this campaign.

4 comments:

  1. The Conservatives will gain some from the Lib Dems and Labour, likely Labour will have a sound overall majority. Gordon Brown will serve over 3 years of the term as PM.

    There is no good reason for a significant change, as per 2001. The trend in the polls is towards Labour and with the odd hiccup that will continue.

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  2. Agree. Ashcroft's marginals' strategy is flawed and vulnerable to rebound. Ham&Ful housing strategy is ripe for exploitation. Would cost Tories London.

    They're actually blowing it. Wait till Commentariat and Tory blogosphere twigs on.

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  3. No intention to ignore or insult Northern Ireland - have no contacts - am hoping @broxted might help. Have suspicion that 'personal' problems in both leaderships might provoke backlash. Dale calling 1 Tory win out of 18! Realistic or propaganda?

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  4. I replied ages ago on "Zydeco".!!

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